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Talenom - A gift that keeps on giving

Talenom reported Q2 figures quite in line with expectations. With the on-going solid momentum, we have raised our 2022-2023 sales growth estimates, expecting continued solid double-digit growth. We adjust our target price to EUR 15.0 (13.3) and retain our HOLD-rating.

No major surprises in Q2 figures
Talenom reported its Q2 results, which were quite in line with expectations. Revenue grew 29.6% to EUR 21.4m (EUR 21.0m Evli/cons.). Of the growth during H1/21 around two-thirds were inorganic and the rest organic growth. The operating profit improved 15% y/y to EUR 4.1m but was slightly below expectations EUR 4.3m/4.4m Evli/cons.). Guidance remains intact, with net sales expected to amount to EUR 80-84m and operating profit to amount to EUR 14-16m. During the review period Talenom announced its expansion to Spain through the acquisition of accounting firm Avail Services SL and continued to grow through acquisitions in Finland and Sweden.

Growth prospects looking as good as ever
Growth in Q2 continued strong and a positive remark was the continued sign of improvement in organic growth, with new customer acquisitions having recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Talenom has also seen good traction in the new small customer concepts, which we expect to pick up further once all steps have been taken to enable acceleration of growth. Our 2021 estimates remain mostly intact, but we have raised our 2022 and 2023 revenue estimates by 8% and 13% respectively, expecting continued inorganic growth and improved organic growth supported by accelerated new customer sales and sales from consulting work. We expect revenue of EUR 82.4m and EBIT of EUR 15.0m respectively (co’s guidance 80-84m and 14-16m).

HOLD-rating with a target price of EUR 15.0 (13.3)
With the solid momentum in sales growth, we raise our target price to EUR 15.0 (EUR 13.3) and retain our HOLD-rating. Valuation remains a challenge, with 2022e P/E of ~52x, but a case like Talenom is hard to come by and the outlook in terms of profitable growth remains clearly positive.

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