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Marimekko - Weak international sales

Marimekko’s Q4 revenue was EUR 29.7m vs. EUR 31.6m/31.1m Evli/cons expectations, while adj. EBITDA landed at EUR 2.2m vs. EUR 2.3/2.6m Evli/cons views. International sales surprisingly declined by as much as 15% in Q4, explained in part by a timing issue of deliveries in APAC. However, international revenue declined somewhat in others markets as well. Dividend is in line. Guidance is mostly as expected, although the flat adj. EBIT guidance looks somewhat cautious vs. our estimates: we have expected adj. EBIT of EUR 13.1m in 2019E vs. EUR 12.2m in 2018A. Consensus for 2019E has been EUR 12.4m.
  • Finland: revenue was EUR 18.3m vs. EUR 17.6m our expectation. Revenue grew by +12% y/y, split to +8% own retail (own retail LFL +6%) and +22% wholesale.
  • International: revenue was EUR 11.4m vs. EUR 14.0m our view. Int. revenue decreased by 15% y/y, driven primarily by APAC (-26%), but also EMEA (-11%) and North America (-12%). Sales in APAC were weakened by a timing issue related to deliveries.
  • Adj. EBITDA was EUR 2.2m vs. EUR 2.3m/2.6m Evli/cons.
  • 2018 dividend: EUR 1.85 per share, consisting of EUR 0.60 ordinary and 1.25 extra. Dividend is in line.
  • 2019E guidance: revenue will increase, while adj. EBIT will be flat in 2019E. We have expected adj. EBIT of EUR 13.1m in 2019E vs. EUR 12.2m in 2018A. Consensus for 2019E has been EUR 12.4m.
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