Marimekko - Very strong Q3; distributes extra dividend; revises financial targets
Marimekko’s Q3 headline numbers are very strong for both revenue and profits. The company keeps 2018E guidance intact, but the max EUR 12m limit for adj. EBIT gives room for only EUR 1.4m adj. EBIT in Q4, which would be weaker than what has been reached during the last two years. Extra dividend of EUR 1.25 is proposed, and financial targets are revised.
- Finland: revenue was EUR 17.2m vs. EUR 16.2m our expectation. Revenue grew by +14% y/y, split to +11% own retail (own retail LFL +9%) and +24% wholesale. Strong retail sales growth was implied by the guidance upgrade in Sep 2018. Wholesale growth of 24% was primarily due to non-recurring promotional deliveries.
- International: revenue was EUR 12.7m vs. EUR 12.3m our view. Revenue increased by +4% y/y, driven primarily by growth in EMEA (+20%). Growth in APAC excl. royalties was also strong at 14%.
- Adj. EBITDA was EUR 6.9m (margin 23.2%) vs. EUR 4.5m our view and EUR 5.2m consensus. The beat is driven primarily by stronger than expected revenue, good trend in retail sales in Finland and growth in regular-priced sales.
- Extra dividend: Board proposes of EUR 1.25 per share.
- New financial targets: EBIT margin 15% (prev: 10%), net debt/EBITDA max 2.0x (new), annual sales growth over 10% (intact), dividend at least 50% of EPS (intact).
- 2018 guidance intact: revenue and adj. EBIT will increase y/y. Adj. EBIT will be max EUR 12m. Marimekko expects revenue to grow in Finland and in APAC. License revenues are expected to remain flat in 2018E. Marketing costs will increase.
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