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Fellow Finance - Miss on earnings, guidance weakness

Fellow Finance’s H2/2019 results fell short of our expectations. Revenue was as per co’s previous guidance EUR 7.0m, while EBIT and adj. EBIT amounted to EUR 0.3m and EUR 1.0m respectively (Evli EUR 1.0m/1.0m). Fellow Finance’s BoD proposes that no dividend be paid for 2019 (Evli EUR 0.04 per share). Fellow Finance expects turnover to grow in 2020 while growth efforts are expected to decrease the operating profit compared to 2019.
  • Revenue in H2 amounted to EUR 7.0m (EUR 6.4m in H2/18), in line with our estimates (Evli EUR 7.0m, pre-announced). Growth in H2 amounted to 9.1%.
  • Fellow Finance facilitated loans during H2 for a total of EUR 92m (EUR 96m in H2/18).
  • Adj. EBIT in H2 amounted to EUR 1.0m (EUR 1.7m in H2/18), in line with our estimates (Evli EUR 1.0m). EBIT amounted to EUR 0.3m (Evli EUR 1.0m).
  • Adj. EPS in H2 amounted to EUR 0.01 per share (EUR 0.14 in H2/18), below our estimate of EUR 0.04. EPS amounted to EUR -0.07 (Evli EUR 0.04)
  • Guidance: In 2020, turnover is expected to grow, and the company's growth efforts are expected to decrease operating profit compared to 2019. The guidance implies weaker figures than we had expected, as we have estimated minor growth in 2020 but EBIT of EUR 2.1m. New guidance implies EBIT of less than EUR 1.6m.
  • Dividend proposal: The BoD proposes that no dividend be paid for 2019 (Evli EUR 0.04).
  • During H2 new services and market openings were prepared and a subsidiary established in Estonia.

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