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Enersense - Soft Q3 but guidance intact

Enersense Q3 figures came in soft compared to our estimates, but the company nevertheless retains its FY ’21 guidance, which implies stronger than expected Q4. The Q4 tilt is due to project cycles and the result is a more balanced quarterly performance since Q3 is often the strongest quarter.
  • Enersense Q3 revenue amounted to EUR 58.3m, compared to our EUR 63.8m estimate. Smart Industry was EUR 18.7m vs our EUR 23.9m estimate, while Power amounted to EUR 12.5m vs our EUR 12.7m estimate. Connectivity top line was EUR 12.3m, compared to our EUR 13.7m estimate. International Operations was EUR 14.6m vs our EUR 13.5m estimate.
  • Adjusted EBITDA came in at EUR 4.4m vs our EUR 6.5m estimate, while adjusted EBIT was EUR 2.6m vs our EUR 4.2m estimate. Smart Industry EBITDA amounted to EUR 2.2m. Meanwhile Power EBITDA was EUR 1.1m and that for Connectivity EUR 0.8m. International Operations posted EUR 0.3m, where Latvian projects’ weak margin development was a drag.
  • Order backlog was EUR 272m at the end of Q3 (EUR 160m a year ago).
  • Enersense guides FY ’21 revenue in the EUR 215-245m range, while adjusted EBITDA is expected to be EUR 17-20m and adjusted EBIT EUR 8-11m (unchanged). The midpoints imply EUR 56.8m revenue, EUR 6.8m adj. EBITDA and EUR 3.4m adj. EBIT for Q4, compared to our respective EUR 63.9m, EUR 5.3m and EUR 3.1m estimates.
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