Endomines - Important year ahead

Volumes developed as expected

Revenue in H2 amounted to EUR 7.9m, roughly in line with our estimate of EUR 8.1m. Gold production amounted to 5,123 oz vs. our estimate of 5,402 oz. Both EBITDA & EBIT missed our estimate as EBITDA for H2 2022 came at EUR -3.0 (Evli EUR 0.6m) and EBIT at EUR -5.4m (Evli EUR -0.8m). The second half of the year was negatively affected especially by increased cost of raw materials and energy. The second half was also negatively affected by non-recurring costs related to the transfer of domicile from Sweden to Finland.

2023 is an important year for the company

Endomines focused on building the foundation for its strategy implementation during the second half of 2022. In 2023, the company aims to build on this foundation and start to implement its strategy on a wider scale. In our view, the most important operational factors for the company in 2023 include improved mining operations in Pampalo, exploration activities in the Karelian gold line and the partnership negotiations in the United States.

HOLD with a target price of EUR 6.5

We have done slight adjustments to our estimates for the Pampalo mining operations as the company’s expectations for 2023 were slightly stronger than we had earlier estimated. We currently include only reserves and resources between the 755-815 and 815-875 levels in Pampalo to our estimates and therefore we do not estimate production post 2024. In our SOTP valuation approach, the rest of the value for the company’s operations in Finland is derived from a real option model which considers the possibility of Pampalo LoM increase and the possibility for the utilization of Karelian gold line satellite deposits. Despite the cautiously positive outlook for 2023, we still see uncertainty regarding the successfulness of the company’s exploration activities and the value realization of the US assets. We retain our HOLD-rating and TP of EUR 6.5.